Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
Sì 96.1%
Previsori
12
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 17 ore fa
Obsoleto14 ago 25, 01:20 UTC3 nov 26, 23:59 UTC
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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KalshiWill Texas use its 2021 map for the 2026 midterms?
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KalshiRegole
Which map does Texas use in Nov 2026?
- YES if any U.S. House district boundary in Texas differs from 2024; otherwise NO.
- Resolves YES if, on Election Day for the Nov 2026 U.S. House general in Texas, the congressional boundaries differ in any way from those used in Nov 2024.
- Includes legislature-enacted, court-ordered, interim, or partial maps.
- Any change counts.
- Resolves NO if the exact same boundaries from Nov 2024 are used in the Nov 2026 general.
Mercati aperti
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
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- 605,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 691,8K €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt1%
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POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt73.3%
- New People (NL)-2.7pt22.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 603,1 Mln €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.2%
- Jon Ossoff-2.0pt16.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
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- 183,6 Mln €
KALSHINew Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Chris Pappas+1.3pt100%
- Karishma Manzur-1.8pt0%
- Jared Sullivan-0.2pt0%
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Texas use a different U.S. House map in 2026 than in 2024??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 96% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Texas use a different U.S. House map in 2026 than in 2024??
- Will Texas use a different U.S. House map in 2026 than in 2024? dovrebbe risolversi il 3 novembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Will Texas use a different U.S. House map in 2026 than in 2024??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Which map does Texas use in Nov 2026?