Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSevere deflation: CPI falls by more than 10%/year 23.5%In testa tra 7 esiti
Previsori
2
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 9 ore fa
Obsoleto27 giu 26, 02:51 UTC27 giu 31, 02:46 UTC
Trend
Asset Sensibili al Macro
Regole
Assume that by Dec. 31, 2035, an AI system exists that is generally considered superintelligent relative to humans across economically relevant cognitive tasks, and assume human civilization and US government statistics still exist.
- This market resolves based on the annualized change in US CPI-U All Items over the five calendar years after the first year in which ASI exists.
- For example, if ASI first exists in 2031, resolve using CPI from Jan. 2032 to Jan. 2037.
- Use BLS CPI-U All Items, or the closest successor series if CPI-U is discontinued.
