Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeBefore May 2027 93.7%In testa tra 6 esiti
Previsori
10
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
+43.7 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 18 ore fa
Obsoleto28 ott 26, 22:03 UTC1 mag 27, 03:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Claude Fable 5.2+ (Anthropic) release date
Manifold MarketsClaude Fable 5.2+: Output Token Price Debut?
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Manifold MarketsClaude 6 (Anthropic) release date
Manifold MarketsWhat will Claude Fable's output token price hit in 2026?
PolymarketRegole
The '+' means any version at or above 5.6 counts: if Anthropic skips 5.6 and releases Claude Fable 5.7 or Fable 6, that still counts for the purpose of this market.
- Minor changes to the name, or other names for a model generally expected to be called Claude Fable 5.6, will also count.
- The model must be accessible without individual vetting or invitation — free or paid, via API or product.
- Open, non-selective waitlists count.
- Closed betas, invite-only access, researcher programs, A/B tests, and anonymous benchmark appearances do not.
- Country-level bans do not prevent resolution.
