Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeBefore June 2027 75.6%In testa tra 10 esiti
Previsori
50
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
+21.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 9 ore fa
Obsoleto9 set 26, 17:40 UTC1 lug 27, 03:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Regole
Minor changes to the name, such as 'Claude Opus 6' or 'Claude Fable 6', or other names for a model generally expected to be called Claude 6, will count for the purpose of this market.
- The model must be accessible without individual vetting or invitation — free or paid, via API or product.
- Open, non-selective waitlists count.
- Closed betas, invite-only access, researcher programs, A/B tests, and anonymous benchmark appearances do not.
- Country-level bans do not prevent resolution.
- @QL5hAdgQld (this market)
