KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Before Jan 1, 2029 69.5%In testa tra 4 esitiCorretto per il margine: le quote grezze sommavano oltre il 100% e sono state normalizzate.
Qualità del mercato
39 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
1,8K €
Bassa liquiditàSpread
8.0 pt
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 12 minuti fa
26 ago 26, 19:09 UTC1 lug 27, 03:59 UTC
Trend
0%
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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Manifold MarketsNext James Bond movie (#26) [Mega Independent] / Prop bets:
Manifold MarketsRegole
If next James Bond has been publicly released in the USA through official channels before the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:DeadlineEntertainment WeeklyFox NewsThe InformationMSNBCSemaforBloomberg NewsThe Wall Street JournalABCThe Hollywood ReporterReutersAxiosIMDbSpotifyNetflixVarietyCNNThe New York TimesNBCPoliticoThe Washington Postthe Associated PressCBS
- This is for the next film in the James Bond series, which goes back to Dr. No (1962); spin-offs and unauthorized productions are not included.
- The media must be made available to the general public through at least one official distribution channel, including theatrical release, streaming availability, physical media (DVD, Blu-ray), or authorized digital purchase/download.
- The release must be accessible without special invitations or industry credentials in at least one major metropolitan area if the geography refers to a country.
- Private screenings, film festivals, leaked content, and torrent availability do not qualify.
- Trailers and soundtracks do not satisfy the criterion unless the full media is released.
Mercati aperti
EntertainmentKALSHIEmmy winner: Outstanding Variety Series
- The Late Show with Stephen Colbert-4.0pt63.9%
- Tie+7.0pt29.6%
- Last Week Tonight with John Oliver-1.0pt2.8%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 295,1K €
- Volume 24h
- 47,9K €
POLYMARKET# of views of next MrBeast Gaming video on day 1?
- 15–17.5M+27.5pt54.5%
- 17.5–20M+26.4pt43.6%
- 12.5–15M-14.2pt1%
+4 altri esiti
POLYMARKETEmmys 2026: Outstanding variety series
- “The Late Show With Stephen Colbert”-0.5pt76.3%
- “Jimmy Kimmel Live!”+2.2pt7.2%
- “The Daily Show”+2.2pt6.2%
+2 altri esiti
KALSHIOscar Winner: Best Picture
- The Odyssey54%
- Dune: Part Three12%
- The Black Ball11%
+37 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 4,5 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 44,3K €
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 35+34.0pt99%
- Above 30+1.0pt99%
- Above 2599%
+14 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 219,4K €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- No Bond chosen+14.6pt36%
- Jack Lowden-16.6pt20%
- Jack Barton-0.1pt12%
+21 altri esiti
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per James Bond · Release Date?
- Kalshi quota Before Jan 1, 2029 al 70% al 13 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve James Bond · Release Date?
- James Bond · Release Date dovrebbe risolversi il 1 luglio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato James Bond · Release Date?
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If next James Bond has been publicly released in the USA through official channels before the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.