California HSR operational between San Francisco and LA before Mars landing?
TecnologiaOne-OffSpazioScienza
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 55.7%
Previsori
12
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 22 ore fa
Obsoleto18 giu 25, 18:19 UTC31 dic 99, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will a crewed Mars flyby or Mars orbit mission be attempted before a crewed Mars landing mission?
Manifold MarketsWhich milestone occurs first: AGI deployment, Starship Mars landing, or ice-free Arctic summer?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the first Mars landing occur?
Manifold Markets🏈 San Francisco 49ers (NFL) Prop Bets 🎲
Manifold MarketsHighest temperature in San Francisco on Oct 27, 2026?
KalshiHighest temperature in San Francisco on October 28?
PolymarketRegole
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the California High-Speed Rail (HSR) system becomes operational between San Francisco and Los Angeles before a human lands alive on Mars. "Operational" is defined as the commencement of regular passenger service along the full route connecting San Francisco and Los Angeles.
- A "human landing on Mars" is defined as a human arriving on the Martian surface alive.
- The resolution will be based on official announcements from the California High-Speed Rail Authority and credible space agencies or organizations involved in Mars missions.
- The California High-Speed Rail project aims to connect San Francisco and Los Angeles via a 494-mile route.
- As of March 2024, the project has faced significant delays and cost overruns, with no set timeline for the full route's completion.