By the end of 2028 will AI be able to write an original article and get it accepted in a prestigious Philosophy journal?

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Quali sono le probabilità attuali per By the end of 2028 will AI be able to write an original article and get it accepted in a prestigious Philosophy journal??

Manifold Markets quota Yes al 75% al 31 ottobre 2026.

Quando si risolve By the end of 2028 will AI be able to write an original article and get it accepted in a prestigious Philosophy journal??

By the end of 2028 will AI be able to write an original article and get it accepted in a prestigious Philosophy journal? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.

Come viene liquidato By the end of 2028 will AI be able to write an original article and get it accepted in a prestigious Philosophy journal??

Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Acceptable journals (taken from a list by Brian Leiter based on a survey):

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POLYMARKET

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

• SpaceX-0.5pt53.5%
• Anthropic+2.1pt46.5%
• ByteDance0%

+9 altri esiti

Volume totale

6,3 Mln €

Volume 24h

207,5K €

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $1.75–$2.0T+1.0pt31.7%
• $2.0–$2.25T-0.8pt20.8%
• $1.5–$1.75T-5.3pt15.8%

+7 altri esiti

POLYMARKET

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

• Google+2.0pt55.5%
• Anthropic+3.0pt36.6%
• OpenAI5.9%

+12 altri esiti

KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Gemini-0.8pt51.5%
• Claude+2.9pt38.9%
• ChatGPT+0.1pt

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO Date

• November 20+3.0pt22.4%
• No IPO by November 30, 2026-4.0pt19.4%
• November 19+4.0pt18.4%

+9 altri esiti

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO by which date?

• December 31,-0.7pt89%
• December 15,+2.0pt84%
• November 30,+3.0pt81%

+15 altri esiti

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• Google market share this week
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• Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
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