By the end of 2026 will there be a mostly AI generated game with $1 million or more in revenue?
IAOne-Off3m
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
No 80.3%
Previsori
86
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 6 ore fa
Obsoleto19 dic 22, 20:32 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Regole
This market seeks to predict the ability to use AI to generate meaningful parts of an impressive game.
- We are not concerned with precision down to the level of generating a good Settings menu, but trying to take a qualitative look at how relevant overall the AI is.
- Individual examples that would cause this market to resolve YES: - All (or the overwhelming majority) of assets are AI generated -> YES - All game mechanics are AI generated -> YES - All the story / dialogue elements are AI generated in a visual novel -> YES
- At the end of 2026 if this market closes and no game has met the critera, this market will resolve NO.
- What counts as a game?
- I am fleshing out two main requirements: 1.
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per By the end of 2026 will there be a mostly AI generated game with $1 million or more in revenue??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 80% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve By the end of 2026 will there be a mostly AI generated game with $1 million or more in revenue??
- By the end of 2026 will there be a mostly AI generated game with $1 million or more in revenue? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato By the end of 2026 will there be a mostly AI generated game with $1 million or more in revenue??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: This market seeks to predict the ability to use AI to generate meaningful parts of an impressive game.