Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 81%
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21
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato 36 minuti fa
29 mar 23, 02:30 UTC1 gen 64, 02:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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Manifold Markets[Metaculus] Will the People's Republic of China control at least half of Taiwan before 2030?
Manifold MarketsRegole
This market solves to YES if the state called Republic of China, based in the island of Taiwan, has control of territory in mainland China.
- I'll rely on the facts on the ground.
- The land has to be in peace for this market to resolve to YES.
- If by market close they have disputed control or are in the process of taking control, this market resolves to NO.
- This market resolves to NO preemptively if the state of the Republic of China ceases to exist for 1 year.
- I'll rely in the mainstream media outlets.