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  1. Mercati Predittivi
  2. Politica
  3. Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by...?
Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by...?

Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by...?

0.1% (24h)One-OffPoliticaChina6m
PolymarketPolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissione
Probabilità implicita attuale
December 31
December 31 15%-0.5%
Qualita del mercato

40 / 100

Bassa qualità
Volume 24h

0 €

Liquidità

11,6K €

Liquidità media
Bid / Ask

0.6% / 1.2%

Spread

100.0%

Spread ampio
Variazione 7g

-0.8%

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 9 minuti fa

13 gen 26, 19:2431 dic 26, 0:00

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Esito scelto

December 3115%

Regole

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Cho Jung-tai ceases to be Premier of Taiwan for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET).

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • An announcement of Cho Jung-tai's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
  • If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
  • The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cho Jung-tai and the government of Taiwan; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Manifold Markets

2026 年年底台湾会回归中国吗?

216,6 €
会: 8.2%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS

Attivi in questi argomenti

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Regole

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Cho Jung-tai ceases to be Premier of Taiwan for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET).

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • An announcement of Cho Jung-tai's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
  • If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
  • The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cho Jung-tai and the government of Taiwan; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.