By 2029, will an AI be able to generate Video Games comparable to ~2023 'AA' Mid Market Games?
IAOne-Off2a
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 85.1%
Previsori
176
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 1 ora fa
In ritardo30 set 23, 07:42 UTC2 gen 29, 06:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
By 2029, will an AI be able to generate Video Games comparable to ~2023 'AA' Mid Market Games?
Manifold MarketsBy 2029, will AI be able to generate Video Games comparable to ~2023 Indie Games?
Manifold MarketsIn early 2029, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?
Manifold MarketsIn 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?
Manifold MarketsVideo Games Ad Spend in October
KalshiVideo games released this year
KalshiRegole
A single AI system must be able to use an arbitrary prompt to generate video games from any genre that exists today in 2023.
- The generated games should be comparable in quality to games created by 'AA' mid market studios in (or before) the year 2023.
- Some examples:
- "make me a multiplayer arena shooter in set in zero g"
- "make me a fantasy rpg with branching choices using a combat system inspired by D&D"
- "make me a voxel based open world exploration game based around crafting"
