By 2029, will an AI be able to generate Video Games comparable to ~2023 'AA' Mid Market Games?
IAOne-Off2aManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 58.3%
Previsori
161
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 11 minuti fa
30 set 23, 07:42 UTC2 gen 29, 06:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
By 2029, will AI be able to generate Video Games comparable to ~2023 Indie Games?
Manifold MarketsIn 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?
Manifold MarketsIn 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?
Manifold MarketsVideo games released this year
KalshiTop AI model in September?
KalshiWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
PolymarketRegole
A single AI system must be able to use an arbitrary prompt to generate video games from any genre that exists today in 2023.
- The generated games should be comparable in quality to games created by 'AA' mid market studios in (or before) the year 2023.
- Some examples:
- "make me a multiplayer arena shooter in set in zero g"
- "make me a fantasy rpg with branching choices using a combat system inspired by D&D"
- "make me a voxel based open world exploration game based around crafting"
Mercati aperti
AIKALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max-12.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 135,2K €
- Volume 24h
- 102,7K €
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+6.5pt62.1%
- 2027-3.5pt28.4%
- 2026+2.0pt9.5%
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.7pt61.4%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt22.8%
- Grok-0.1pt7.9%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 9,1 Mln €
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-1.0pt11.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 325K €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-2.5pt66%
- 1490+-9.0pt51%
- 1500+-3.0pt23%
+2 altri esiti
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per By 2029, will an AI be able to generate Video Games comparable to ~2023 'AA' Mid Market Games??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 58% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve By 2029, will an AI be able to generate Video Games comparable to ~2023 'AA' Mid Market Games??
- By 2029, will an AI be able to generate Video Games comparable to ~2023 'AA' Mid Market Games? dovrebbe risolversi il 2 gennaio 2029.
- Come viene liquidato By 2029, will an AI be able to generate Video Games comparable to ~2023 'AA' Mid Market Games??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: A single AI system must be able to use an arbitrary prompt to generate video games from any genre that exists today in 2023.