Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 71.5%
Previsori
50
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 13 ore fa
Obsoleto2 ott 23, 01:12 UTC2 gen 29, 06:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
By 2029, will an AI be able to generate Video Games comparable to ~2023 'AA' Mid Market Games?
Manifold MarketsBy 2029, will an AI be able to generate Video Games comparable to ~2023 'AA' Mid Market Games?
Manifold MarketsIn 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?
Manifold MarketsIn 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?
Manifold MarketsVideo games released this year
KalshiVideo Games Ad Spend in October
KalshiRegole
A single AI system must be able to use an arbitrary prompt to generate single player video games from any genre that exists today in 2023.
- The generated games should be comparable in quality to indie games made before the year 2024 with a budget of less than $1,000,000.
- The AI doesn't have to be available to the public, as long as it's confirmed to exist.
- I will not bet on this market.
