Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 94.7%
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30
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato 13 ore fa
Obsoleto5 gen 24, 10:59 UTC12 gen 28, 08:00 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
By 2028, AI can translate a text written in a newly discovered language into English as well as a team of human experts
Manifold MarketsBy 2028, AI can transcribe human speech with a variety of accents in a noisy environment as well as a typical human can
Manifold MarketsBy when will AIs perform at least as well as humans on GAIA?
Manifold MarketsBy 2028, AI can play new levels of "Angry Birds" better than the best human players.
Manifold MarketsWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
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PolymarketRegole
Perform as well as the best human entrants in the Putnam competition—a math contest whose questions have known solutions, but which are difficult for the best young mathematicians
