Manifold MarketsChiusoSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoQuesto mercato si è risolto: Flavio Bolsonaro (99%)
Risolto: 5 ott 2026, 01:03
Risoluzione verificata dal provider
CoinRithm dispone di prove del provider sul vincitore e sul momento di regolamento di questo mercato.
Cronologia delle Probabilità
Lula1%
Flavio Bolsonaro99%
Other0%
Vinta
Persa
Persa
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Brazil presidential election first round: voter turnout
KalshiBrazil presidential election: first round winner?
KalshiBrazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
KalshiBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place
KalshiBrazil Presidential Election Winner 2026?
Gemini2026 Brazil Presidential Election Winner?
Manifold MarketsRegole
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the candidate who receives the highest number of valid votes (excluding blank and null votes) in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, according to official data released by the Brazilian Superior Electoral Court (TSE).
- First Round Date: October 4, 2026.
- Runoff Clarification: The market resolves based solely on the results of the first round.
- Even if no candidate achieves the absolute majority (>50%) required to win the presidency outright (thereby triggering a runoff on October 25, 2026), the candidate with the most valid votes in the first round will be declared the winner.
- Unlisted Winner: Because the options list is locked, if a candidate not listed among the choices wins the first round, this market will resolve to N/A.
