KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiCalibrazione approssimativaProbabilità implicita attualeAldo Rebelo 0%In testa tra 13 esiti
Qualita del mercato
44 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
0 €
Liquidità
7,6K €
Liquidità mediaBid / Ask
- / 1.0%
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 23 minuti fa
23 apr 26, 4:004 ott 27, 14:00
Trend
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
Eduardo Bolsonaro6%
Confronta le piattaforme· Renan Santos
Ordinato per qualità del mercato, poi liquidità e volume 24h| Piattaforma | Qualità | Probabilità | vs riferimento | Volume 24h | Liquidità | Aggiornamento | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketMigliore in assoluto76% di corrispondenza · auto | Alta | 65% | 0pt | 1,5K € | 375,7K € | 3 minuti fa | Apri → |
| KalshiQuesta pagina | Bassa | 60% | -5pt | 0 € | 7,6K € | 23 minuti fa |
Disponibile anche su Polymarket
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place
0.5%2m
+0.5%65%
16%
-0.5%8%
+29 altri esiti
80 • Alta qualitàSpread moderatoAlta liquiditàAlta ambiguità
Volume totale417K €
Volume 24h1,5K €
POLYMARKETRegole
If Aldo Rebelo finishes in 3rd place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Ranking is determined by the specified counting method: For plurality voting: rank is based on vote count or percentage For ranked choice voting: rank is determined by elimination order (runner-up is eliminated in final round for second place) For two-round systems: rank is based on final round results if it proceeds to second round, otherwise first-round totals For proportional representation: rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order
- In case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities).
- Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to NO unless a specific "Write-in" or "Other" option exists.
- Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received.
- If the election is cancelled or postponed beyond expiration, all markets resolve to NO.
I dati di confronto sono solo informativi. I prezzi e la liquidità possono variare.
Trend del volume
$12 lug16g di dati24 lug
Mercati Correlati
Brazil Presidential Election
157,5K €Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva: 63%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Brazil Presidential election winner?
17,9K €Flávio Bolsonaro: 26%KALSHI
KALSHI
New Mexico Governor winner?
6,2K €Greggory D. Hull: 12%KALSHI
KALSHIBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
4,4K €Flávio Bolsonaro: 78%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Paraná Governor Election Winner
3,8K €Sergio Moro: 82%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Argentina presidential election winner?
470 €Axel Kicillof: 40%KALSHI
KALSHIAttivi in questi argomenti
Notizie Correlate
Polymarket Account in Farage Backer's Name Took $9M in Crypto From Unknown Sources: FTDecrypt
Polymarket odds lift Lula to 60.5% in Brazil race as Russia sanctions vote nearsBlockchain.News
Polymarket odds jump: US-Iran invasion risk hits 30.5% after tariff newsBlockchain.NewsPolymarket 2028 odds: Vance leads at 19.85% as voter-roll claims circulateBlockchain.News
Polymarket odds swing: Eizenkot hits 51% as Israel campaign kicks offBlockchain.News
Polymarket: Vance leads 2028 at 19.85% as pricing trend softensBlockchain.NewsRegole
If Aldo Rebelo finishes in 3rd place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Ranking is determined by the specified counting method: For plurality voting: rank is based on vote count or percentage For ranked choice voting: rank is determined by elimination order (runner-up is eliminated in final round for second place) For two-round systems: rank is based on final round results if it proceeds to second round, otherwise first-round totals For proportional representation: rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order
- In case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities).
- Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to NO unless a specific "Write-in" or "Other" option exists.
- Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received.
- If the election is cancelled or postponed beyond expiration, all markets resolve to NO.