KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Flávio Bolsonaro, 5-10% 54%In testa tra 11 esiti
Qualità del mercato
59 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
108,4 €
Liquidità
10,9K €
Liquidità mediaSpread
1.0 pt
Spread strettoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 7 minuti fa
23 apr 26, 04:00 UTC4 ott 27, 14:00 UTC
Trend
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Brazil presidential election: first round winner?
KalshiBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
KalshiBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place
KalshiBrazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
LimitlessBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
PolymarketBrazil Presidential Election First Round Winner
PolymarketRegole
If the margin of victory for Lula da Silva in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election falls within 0% to 5%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE)
- The margin of victory is the vote share received by Lula da Silva minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Lula da Silva if Lula da Silva wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Lula da Silva loses.
- If Lula da Silva wins, the margin will be positive; if Lula da Silva loses, the margin will be negative; if Lula da Silva ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied.
- For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.
- If Lula da Silva runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
- Disponibile anche su Polymarket — Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory · Lula da Silva <5% 41%
- Disponibile anche su Limitless — Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory · Lula da Silva <5% 39%
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory?
- Kalshi quota Flávio Bolsonaro, 5-10% al 54% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory?
- Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory dovrebbe risolversi il 4 ottobre 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory?
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If the margin of victory for Lula da Silva in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election falls within 0% to 5%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Dove altro è quotato Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory?
- La stessa domanda è quotata anche su Polymarket, Limitless.