Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
6.0% (24h)One-OffPoliticaElezioneLatin America1a
KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneProbabilità implicita attualeLula da Silva, 5-10% 15%-6.0%In testa tra 11 esiti
Qualita del mercato
28 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
0,1 €
Liquidità
6,3 €
Bassa liquiditàBid / Ask
15.0% / 22.0%
Spread
46.7%
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 3 minuti fa
23 apr 26, 4:004 ott 27, 14:00
Trend
0%
0%
Esito scelto
Lula da Silva, 5-10%15%
Disponibile anche su Polymarket
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
5.3%3m
-2.5%34%
+3.5%32%
-2.0%11%
+8 altri esiti
56 • Qualità mediaSpread ampioAlta liquiditàAlta ambiguità
Volume totale206,9K €
Volume 24h155,2 €
POLYMARKETRegole
If the margin of victory for Lula da Silva in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election falls within 0% to 5%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Lula da Silva minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Lula da Silva if Lula da Silva wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Lula da Silva loses.
- For raw votes: the total votes received by Lula da Silva minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Lula da Silva if Lula da Silva wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Lula da Silva loses.
- For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Lula da Silva minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Lula da Silva wins, or the electoral votes received by Lula da Silva minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Lula da Silva does not.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
I dati di confronto sono solo informativi. I prezzi e la liquidità possono variare.
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If the margin of victory for Lula da Silva in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election falls within 0% to 5%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Lula da Silva minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Lula da Silva if Lula da Silva wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Lula da Silva loses.
- For raw votes: the total votes received by Lula da Silva minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Lula da Silva if Lula da Silva wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Lula da Silva loses.
- For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Lula da Silva minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Lula da Silva wins, or the electoral votes received by Lula da Silva minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Lula da Silva does not.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.