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  1. Mercati Predittivi
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  3. Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

1.0% (24h)One-OffPoliticaElezioneLatin America1a
KalshiKalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissione
Probabilità implicita attuale
Flávio Bolsonaro
Flávio Bolsonaro 67%+1.0%
In testa tra 13 esiti
Qualita del mercato

44 / 100

Bassa qualità
Volume 24h

0,9 €

Liquidità

35,6 €

Bassa liquidità
Bid / Ask

67.0% / 71.0%

Spread

6.0%

Spread moderato
Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 3 minuti fa

23 apr 26, 4:004 ott 27, 14:00

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità
Aldo Rebelo
Aldo Rebelo
0%
Ciro Gomes
Ciro Gomes
0%

Esito scelto

Flávio Bolsonaro67%

PolymarketDisponibile anche su Polymarket

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

3m
Flávio Bolsonaro
Flávio Bolsonaro
+4.0%65%
Renan Santos
Renan Santos
+0.4%17%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
9%

+29 altri esiti

73 • Qualità mediaSpread ampioAlta liquiditàAlta ambiguità
Volume totale3,2 Mln €
Volume 24h5,7K €
PolymarketPOLYMARKET

Regole

If Aldo Rebelo finishes in 2nd place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Ranking is determined by the specified counting method: For plurality voting: rank is based on vote count or percentage For ranked choice voting: rank is determined by elimination order (runner-up is eliminated in final round for second place) For two-round systems: rank is based on final round results if it proceeds to second round, otherwise first-round totals For proportional representation: rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order
  • In case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities).
  • Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to NO unless a specific "Write-in" or "Other" option exists.
  • Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received.
  • If the election is cancelled or postponed beyond expiration, all markets resolve to NO.

I dati di confronto sono solo informativi. I prezzi e la liquidità possono variare.

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Brazil Presidential election winner?

Brazil Presidential election winner?

163 €
Renan Santos: 15%KalshiKALSHI
Manifold Markets

Brazil 2026 Election: Who Leads the Polling Average Two Months Before the Election? (1st Round)

52 €
Lula: 85.9%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Will Peru’s JNE annul the presidential election?

Will Peru’s JNE annul the presidential election?

20,4 €
Sì: 8%KalshiKALSHI

Attivi in questi argomenti

BitcoinBTC$62,589.60+2.22%EthereumETH$1,647.79+1.39%SolanaSOL$65.08+1.47%DogecoinDOGE$0.0849+1.61%XRPXRP$1.12+0.12%BNBBNB$594.77+1.56%

Notizie Correlate

Russia election odds hold with United Russia leading at ~54.5%Blockchain.NewsPeru 2nd Round Bet Focus Narrows to Fujimori Narrow VictoryBlockchain.NewsBurnham Favored in Makerfield By-Election as Markets React to Rising OddsBlockchain.NewsCrypto PACs Shape Bets on Peru’s 2026 RaceBlockchain.NewsBinance Joins ABcripto to Boost Brazil's Crypto MarketBlockchain.NewsNew Defend Developers PAC targets key races with DeFi on the lineCrypto News

Regole

If Aldo Rebelo finishes in 2nd place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Ranking is determined by the specified counting method: For plurality voting: rank is based on vote count or percentage For ranked choice voting: rank is determined by elimination order (runner-up is eliminated in final round for second place) For two-round systems: rank is based on final round results if it proceeds to second round, otherwise first-round totals For proportional representation: rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order
  • In case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities).
  • Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to NO unless a specific "Write-in" or "Other" option exists.
  • Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received.
  • If the election is cancelled or postponed beyond expiration, all markets resolve to NO.