Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeFlavio Bolsonaro 89%+3.3ptIn testa tra 8 esiti
Previsori
76
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
+32.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 10 minuti fa
23 feb 26, 02:52 UTC25 ott 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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KalshiBrazil presidential runoff: will Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro debate?
KalshiRegole
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
- If date changes, resolves based on next presidential election.
- This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
- This market includes any potential second round.
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
- If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
- Disponibile anche su Kalshi — Brazil Presidential election winner? · Flávio Bolsonaro 86%