At any point before start of 2050, will a country named Chechnya (or similar) be a member of the UN?
Russia / UcrainaOne-OffManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 60.5%
Previsori
7
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 31 minuti fa
21 mag 24, 15:39 UTC31 dic 49, 19:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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"Chechen republic" and similar stuff would also count.
- The purpose of this market is to predict if Chechnya would secede from Russia.
- Resolves negatively if the United Nations themselves cease to exist before Chechnya can join them as an independent state.
- Check out my similar markets about Sakha and Siberia in general:
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/wadimiusz/at-any-point-before-start-of-2050-w)(https://manifold.markets/embed/market/at-any-point-before-the-start-of-20)