Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 96.3%
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Aggiornato 5 minuti fa
4 lug 25, 03:25 UTC31 dic 29, 23:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
AI solves Millennium Prize Problem in 2026?
Manifold MarketsAI solves Millennium Prize Problem in September 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Artificial Intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
PolymarketWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
KalshiWill Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution?
KalshiRegole
Resolves YES if AI is reported by reputable sources to have solved one of the 'Unsolved problems' on this webpage: https://www.claymath.org/millennium-problems/
- Resolves NO otherwise
- Clarification: There should have been no human assistance whatsoever in solving the problem.
- AI-assisted proofs do not count for resolution.
Mercati aperti
AIKALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max-12.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 135,2K €
- Volume 24h
- 102,7K €
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+6.5pt62.1%
- 2027-3.5pt28.4%
- 2026+2.0pt9.5%
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.7pt61.4%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt22.8%
- Grok-0.1pt7.9%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 9,1 Mln €
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-1.0pt11.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 325K €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-2.5pt66%
- 1490+-9.0pt51%
- 1500+-3.0pt23%
+2 altri esiti
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per AI solves a Millennium Prize Problem before 2030??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 96% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve AI solves a Millennium Prize Problem before 2030??
- AI solves a Millennium Prize Problem before 2030? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2029.
- Come viene liquidato AI solves a Millennium Prize Problem before 2030??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolves YES if AI is reported by reputable sources to have solved one of the 'Unsolved problems' on this webpage: https://www.claymath.org/millennium-problems/