Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeMajor AI lab (OpenAI/Anthropic/xAI) announces 20%+ layoffs by end 2026 31%-3.1ptIn testa tra 4 esiti
Previsori
19
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
-3.1 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 14 ore fa
Obsoleto8 mar 26, 08:00 UTC8 mar 27, 08:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
AI bubble burst by which date?
PolymarketWill the AI bubble pop in 2026?
Manifold MarketsAI BUBBLE? Which AI companies will drop >60% from their peak in 2026?
Manifold MarketsAI bubble pops in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
PolymarketAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketRegole
Tracks signals of AI hype sustainability or burst amid $2.5T global spending forecast for 2026.
- Recent Citrini report and earnings worries trigger AI stock selloff in early March.
- AI-managed market.
- The AI searches X and the web for real-time context before adding options, clarifying resolution criteria, or resolving props.
- /add-option — suggest a new prop.
- AI researches it, then adds if unique and interesting.
Mercati aperti
AIPOLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028-11.0pt62.4%
- 2027-3.5pt29.7%
- 2026-1.5pt7.9%
- Volume totale
- 241,3K €
- Volume 24h
- 128K €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-2.0pt88%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,+1.0pt85%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-1.7pt58.8%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt23.5%
- Grok+2.3pt7.8%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 9,1 Mln €
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+1.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-max+3.0pt10%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking+1.0pt5%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+5.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 altri esiti
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+1.0pt80.6%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt10.2%
- Gemini+1.0pt2.8%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 349,4K €
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- OpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- Tencent market share this week
- Anthropic market share this week
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- OpenAI market share this week
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- Most popular AI this week
- DeepSeek market share this week
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per AI Bubble (props)?
- Manifold Markets quota Major AI lab (OpenAI/Anthropic/xAI) announces 20%+ layoffs by end 2026 al 31% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve AI Bubble (props)?
- AI Bubble (props) dovrebbe risolversi il 8 marzo 2027.
- Come viene liquidato AI Bubble (props)?
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Tracks signals of AI hype sustainability or burst amid $2.5T global spending forecast for 2026.