🇺🇸🇨🇦 Will the U.S. and Canada reach a deal to prevent new 50% U.S. tariffs on Canadian imports by August 19, 2026?

Trade PolicyDaily

Manifold MarketsChiusoSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibrato

Questo mercato si è risolto: Yes (2.5%)

Risolto: 19 ago 2026, 05:08

Risoluzione verificata dal provider

CoinRithm dispone di prove del provider sul vincitore e sul momento di regolamento di questo mercato.

Previsione della comunità attuale

No 97.5%

Previsori

Tipo di domanda

binary

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo di fonte

Previsione

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato ieri

Obsoleto

14 ago 26, 19:5318 ago 26, 20:59

Cronologia delle Probabilità

Yes2.5%

No97.5%

97.5%

Sì

2.5%

Regole

Resolve YES if, before the new 50% U.S. tariffs on covered Canadian goods are scheduled to take effect on August 19, 2026, the United States and Canada officially announce an agreement that cancels, suspends, postpones, or materially reduces those tariffs.

An agreement in principle counts only if both governments officially confirm that it prevents or materially changes the scheduled August 19 tariffs.
Continuing negotiations, unofficial reports, or a unilateral statement that an agreement is “close” do not count.
Resolve NO if the tariffs take effect as scheduled without such an agreement.

🇺🇸🇨🇦 Will the U.S. and Canada reach a deal to prevent new 50% U.S. tariffs on Canadian imports by August 19, 2026?

Trade PolicyDaily

Manifold MarketsChiusoSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibrato

Questo mercato si è risolto: Yes (2.5%)

Risolto: 19 ago 2026, 05:08

Risoluzione verificata dal provider

CoinRithm dispone di prove del provider sul vincitore e sul momento di regolamento di questo mercato.

Previsione della comunità attuale

No 97.5%

Previsori

Tipo di domanda

binary

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo di fonte

Previsione

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato ieri

Obsoleto

14 ago 26, 19:5318 ago 26, 20:59

Cronologia delle Probabilità

Yes2.5%

No97.5%

97.5%

Sì

2.5%

Regole

An agreement in principle counts only if both governments officially confirm that it prevents or materially changes the scheduled August 19 tariffs.
Continuing negotiations, unofficial reports, or a unilateral statement that an agreement is “close” do not count.
Resolve NO if the tariffs take effect as scheduled without such an agreement.

Domande frequenti

Quali sono le probabilità attuali per 🇺🇸🇨🇦 Will the U.S. and Canada reach a deal to prevent new 50% U.S. tariffs on Canadian imports by August 19, 2026??: Manifold Markets quota No al 98% al 20 agosto 2026.
Quando si risolve 🇺🇸🇨🇦 Will the U.S. and Canada reach a deal to prevent new 50% U.S. tariffs on Canadian imports by August 19, 2026??: 🇺🇸🇨🇦 Will the U.S. and Canada reach a deal to prevent new 50% U.S. tariffs on Canadian imports by August 19, 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 18 agosto 2026.
Come viene liquidato 🇺🇸🇨🇦 Will the U.S. and Canada reach a deal to prevent new 50% U.S. tariffs on Canadian imports by August 19, 2026??: Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolve YES if, before the new 50% U.S. tariffs on covered Canadian goods are scheduled to take effect on August 19, 2026, the United States and Canada officially announce an agreement that cancels, suspends, postpones, or materially reduces those tariffs.

🇺🇸🇨🇦 Will the U.S. and Canada reach a deal to prevent new 50% U.S. tariffs on Canadian imports by August 19, 2026?

🇺🇸🇨🇦 Will the U.S. and Canada reach a deal to prevent new 50% U.S. tariffs on Canadian imports by August 19, 2026?

Domande frequenti

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