KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
At least 7% 99%In testa tra 8 esiti
Qualità del mercato
28 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
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Liquidità
1,4K €
Bassa liquiditàSpread
49.0 pt
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 3 minuti fa
21 ago 26, 19:00 UTC6 set 27, 16:00 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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Manifold MarketsBerlin State Election: SPD Vote Share?
PolymarketNext government of Saxony-Anhalt?
Manifold MarketsRegole
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by SPD in the 2026 Saxony-Anhalt state election is 3% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:Landeswahlleiter des Landes Sachsen-Anhalt
- The percentage is the Social Democratic Party's share of the Landesstimme, the party list vote, calculated as votes received divided by total valid Landesstimmen cast, times 100, rounded to two decimal places.
- Resolution uses certified official results, not preliminary results.
- Invalid, spoiled and rejected ballots are excluded from both the numerator and the denominator.
- If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.
- If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond expiration, every market resolves to NO.
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Saxony-Anhalt state election: SPD vote percent?
- Kalshi quota At least 7% al 99% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Saxony-Anhalt state election: SPD vote percent?
- Saxony-Anhalt state election: SPD vote percent dovrebbe risolversi il 6 settembre 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Saxony-Anhalt state election: SPD vote percent?
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by SPD in the 2026 Saxony-Anhalt state election is 3% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.