KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
At least 5% 10%In testa tra 7 esiti
Qualità del mercato
23 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
280 €
Bassa liquiditàDati di mercato
Aggiornato 4 minuti fa
21 ago 26, 19:00 UTC6 set 27, 16:00 UTC
Trend
0%
0%
0%
0%
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Saxony-Anhalt state election: Greens vote percent
KalshiSaxony-Anhalt state election: AfD vote percent
KalshiSaxony-Anhalt state election: Die Linke vote percent
KalshiSaxony-Anhalt 2026: How many more votes will Ulrich Siegmund get for State Prime Minister, relative to AfD's seats?
Manifold MarketsNext minister president of Saxony-Anhalt?
Manifold MarketsNext government of Saxony-Anhalt?
Manifold MarketsRegole
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by FDP in the 2026 Saxony-Anhalt state election is 1% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:Landeswahlleiter des Landes Sachsen-Anhalt
- The percentage is the Free Democratic Party's share of the Landesstimme, the party list vote, calculated as votes received divided by total valid Landesstimmen cast, times 100, rounded to two decimal places.
- Resolution uses certified official results, not preliminary results.
- Invalid, spoiled and rejected ballots are excluded from both the numerator and the denominator.
- If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.
- If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond expiration, every market resolves to NO.
Mercati aperti
Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 605,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 697,7K €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 altri esiti
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 603,2 Mln €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 183,4 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 471,3K €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 altri esiti
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Saxony-Anhalt state election: FDP vote percent?
- Kalshi quota At least 5% al 10% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Saxony-Anhalt state election: FDP vote percent?
- Saxony-Anhalt state election: FDP vote percent dovrebbe risolversi il 6 settembre 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Saxony-Anhalt state election: FDP vote percent?
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by FDP in the 2026 Saxony-Anhalt state election is 1% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.