KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
At least 7% 88%In testa tra 6 esiti
Qualità del mercato
34 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
86,2 €
Bassa liquiditàSpread
6.0 pt
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 11 minuti fa
11 set 26, 20:00 UTC20 set 27, 14:00 UTC
Trend
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Regole
If the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimmen) received by SPD in the 2026 Berlin state election is 5% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:Der Landeswahlleiter für Berlin
- The percentage is (second votes received by the party ÷ total valid second votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places.
- Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from numerator and denominator.
- Except as provided in the Fully-Conducted Elections and Accelerated Resolution provisions, use certified/official results; unofficial results or media declarations may be used only as those provisions allow.
- If voting is cancelled, suspended, or postponed before it concludes, or no results (certified or unofficial as reported by the Source Agencies) are available by expiration, resolve No, subject to those provisions.
- If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, use the most recent certified percentage.
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Berlin state election: SPD vote share??
- Kalshi quota At least 7% al 88% al 13 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Berlin state election: SPD vote share??
- Berlin state election: SPD vote share? dovrebbe risolversi il 20 settembre 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Berlin state election: SPD vote share??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimmen) received by SPD in the 2026 Berlin state election is 5% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Dove altro è quotato Berlin state election: SPD vote share??
- La stessa domanda è quotata anche su Polymarket.