Probabilità implicita attuale
Over 57%+2.5pt
Qualità del mercato
35 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
1,1K €
Bassa liquiditàBid / Ask
39.0% / 76.0%
Spread
37.0 pt
Spread ampioCommenti
0
Variazione 7g
+17.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 9 minuti fa
20 ago 26, 18:20 UTC20 set 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Regole
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
- This market will resolve to “Over” if SPD wins at least 13% of all valid second votes (Zweitstimme) in the specified election.
- This market will resolve to “Under” if SPD wins less than 13% of all valid second votes (Zweitstimme) in the specified election.
- This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
- Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party.
- Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements.
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Berlin State Election: SPD Over/Under 13%??
- Polymarket quota Over al 57% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Berlin State Election: SPD Over/Under 13%??
- Berlin State Election: SPD Over/Under 13%? dovrebbe risolversi il 20 settembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Berlin State Election: SPD Over/Under 13%??
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.