Which countries’ U.S. Treasury holdings will increase in 2026?
1.0 pt (24h)Bonds & TreasuriesOne-OffChina5m
KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
United Kingdom 82%+8.0ptIn testa tra 12 esiti
Qualità del mercato
67 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
8,6K €
Liquidità
7,8K €
Liquidità mediaSpread
1.0 pt
Spread strettoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 11 minuti fa
13 set 26, 23:00 UTC18 feb 27, 20:55 UTC
Trend
Asset Sensibili al Macro
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
PolymarketHow low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
PolymarketHow high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
Polymarket10Y US Treasury yield at year-end?
Kalshi10 Year Treasury Yield at 3.5%+ on 12/31/2026?
Manifold MarketsHow high will the 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
FutuurRegole
If the U.S. Treasury securities holdings reported for Japan for December 2026 are above the holdings reported for Japan for December 2025 in the same first non-preliminary edition of Table 5 that contains December 2026 data, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:U.S. Department of the Treasury
- For this market, an increase means that the December 2026 figure for the named holder is strictly greater than its prior-year figure in the first non-preliminary edition of the U.S. Department of the Treasury’s Table 5: Major Foreign Holders of Treasury Securities containing December 2026 data.
- Both figures will be taken from that same edition, including any revisions to the prior-year figure reflected there. “December 2026” refers to the table’s reporting period, not its publication date.
- Values will be compared as published, in billions of U.S. dollars, without rounding.
- Holdings will be attributed exactly as Treasury reports them, without adjustment for custodial arrangements or beneficial ownership.
- For row matching, “the named outcome” corresponds to “China, Mainland,” “the named outcome” corresponds to “Korea, South,” and “UAE” corresponds to “United Arab Emirates.”
Mercati aperti
Bonds & TreasuriesPOLYMARKETHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- 4.5%+11.2pt100%
- 4.6%+4.9pt100%
- 4.8%+7.9pt100%
+8 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 436,1K €
- Volume 24h
- 33,9K €
KALSHISOFR for September 17, 2026
- 3.66% or Above94.3%
- Exactly 3.63%0.9%
- Exactly 3.62%0.9%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 22,4K €
- Volume 24h
- 22,4K €
POLYMARKETHow low will 10-year Treasury yield get in September?
- Below 4.76%-2.5pt9%
- Below 4.73%+4.2pt7%
- Below 4.51%+0.3pt3%
+6 altri esiti
KALSHIHow high will the 30Y US Treasury yield get by Sep 30, 2026?
- 5.31% or above99%
- 5.32% or above99%
- 5.33% or above99%
+17 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 40,4K €
- Volume 24h
- 7,4K €
POLYMARKETHow low will 30-year Treasury yield get in September?
- Below 5.24%-3.0pt33%
- Below 5.21%+2.0pt17%
- Below 5.18%+4.5pt11%
+6 altri esiti
POLYMARKETHow high will 30-year Treasury yield go in September?
- 5.30%+3.3pt100%
- 5.33%+27.5pt100%
- 5.36%+49.6pt100%
+6 altri esiti
- How low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
- How high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- 2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 18, 2026?
- How high will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Sep 30, 2026?
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
- How low will 5-year Treasury yield get in September?
- How low will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Sep 30, 2026?
- How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- How low will the 30Y US Treasury yield get by Sep 30, 2026?
- 7Y US Treasury yield on Sep 18, 2026?
Cripto correlate
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Which countries’ U.S. Treasury holdings will increase in 2026??
- Kalshi quota United Kingdom al 82% al 17 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Which countries’ U.S. Treasury holdings will increase in 2026??
- Which countries’ U.S. Treasury holdings will increase in 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 18 febbraio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Which countries’ U.S. Treasury holdings will increase in 2026??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If the U.S. Treasury securities holdings reported for Japan for December 2026 are above the holdings reported for Japan for December 2025 in the same first non-preliminary edition of Table 5 that contains December 2026 data, then the market resolves to Yes.