KalshiChiusoVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiestoDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoQuesto mercato è chiuso e in attesa di una risoluzione confermata.
In attesa di risoluzione verificata
CoinRithm attende un regolamento confermato dal provider prima di trattare questo mercato come risolto.
Avviso sulla qualità dei datiDati obsoleti
Dati al 22 ott 2026, 18:56 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Probabilità implicita attuale
4.88% or above 99%In testa tra 25 esiti
4.88% or above 99%Qualità del mercato
43 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
70K €
Open interest
49K USD
Open interest altoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 1 ora fa
In ritardo21 ott 26, 19:30 UTC22 ott 26, 19:30 UTC
Trend
4.88% or above99%
4.84% or above99%
4.86% or above99%
4.76% or above99%
4.78% or above99%
4.8% or above99%
4.82% or above99%
4.9% or above99%
4.92% or above98%
4.94% or above78%
4.96% or above48%
4.98% or above8%
5% or above6%
5.02% or above5%
5.06% or above1%
5.22% or above1%
5.08% or above1%
5.04% or above1%
5.2% or above1%
5.1% or above1%
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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KalshiHow high will the 2-year US Treasury yield get in Oct 2026?
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Manifold MarketsAsset Sensibili al Macro
Regole
La regola esatta di questo esito non è disponibile.
Si regola tramite:U.S. Department of the Treasury
- The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 22, 2026, or one week following Oct 22, 2026.
Regole per ogni esito
- 4.88% or above
- If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.87% on Oct 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.84% or above
- If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.83% on Oct 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.86% or above
- If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.85% on Oct 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.76% or above
- If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.75% on Oct 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.78% or above
- If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.77% on Oct 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.8% or above
- If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.79% on Oct 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.82% or above
- If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.81% on Oct 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.9% or above
- If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.89% on Oct 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.92% or above
- If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.91% on Oct 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.94% or above
- If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.93% on Oct 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.96% or above
- If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.95% on Oct 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.98% or above
- If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.97% on Oct 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5% or above
- If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.99% on Oct 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.02% or above
- If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.01% on Oct 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.06% or above
- If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.05% on Oct 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.22% or above
- If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.21% on Oct 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.08% or above
- If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.07% on Oct 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.04% or above
- If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.03% on Oct 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.2% or above
- If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.19% on Oct 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.1% or above
- If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.09% on Oct 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.12% or above
- If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.11% on Oct 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.18% or above
- If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.17% on Oct 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.24% or above
- If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.23% on Oct 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.14% or above
- If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.13% on Oct 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.16% or above
- If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.15% on Oct 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.