KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Christian Democrats 63.2%+13.0ptIn testa tra 8 esitiCorretto per il margine: le quote grezze sommavano oltre il 100% e sono state normalizzate.
Qualità del mercato
50 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
1,7 €
Liquidità
16,3K €
Liquidità mediaSpread
6.0 pt
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 8 minuti fa
1 set 26, 02:00 UTC18 set 26, 21:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will the Sweden Democrats beat their 2022 vote share (20.54%) in the September 2026 Riksdag election?
Manifold MarketsSweden Parliamentary Election: 4th Place
PolymarketSweden Parliamentary Election: 5th Place
PolymarketSweden Parliamentary Election: 6th Place
PolymarketLiberals still in Riksdag after next election?
Manifold MarketsChristian Democrats still in Riksdag after next election?
Manifold MarketsRegole
If the named outcome is the sole party with the seventh-highest nationwide valid-vote share in the Swedish Election Authority's final certified result for the 2026 Riksdag election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:Swedish Election Authority
- Rank parties by certified nationwide valid-vote count in the Swedish Election Authority's final Riksdag result, equivalent to unrounded valid-vote share.
- Seats, mandates, regional or municipal results, polls, projections and preliminary counts do NOT count.
- A party qualifies only if exactly six parties have more valid votes and none has the same count.
- An exact tie or unlisted sole seventh-place party makes every named market resolve NO.
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Sweden Riksdag election: 7th place (vote share)?
- Kalshi quota Christian Democrats al 63% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Sweden Riksdag election: 7th place (vote share)?
- Sweden Riksdag election: 7th place (vote share) dovrebbe risolversi il 18 settembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Sweden Riksdag election: 7th place (vote share)?
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If the named outcome is the sole party with the seventh-highest nationwide valid-vote share in the Swedish Election Authority's final certified result for the 2026 Riksdag election, then the market resolves to Yes.