Previsione della comunità attuale
Sì 88.7%
Previsori
15
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 6 minuti fa
14 ago 25, 17:41 UTC12 set 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Liberals still in Riksdag after next election?
Manifold MarketsSweden Riksdag election: 7th place (vote share)
KalshiWill the Sweden Democrats beat their 2022 vote share (20.54%) in the September 2026 Riksdag election?
Manifold MarketsWhich minor party will enter the Riksdag next?
Manifold MarketsNext French Presidential Election
PolymarketWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
PolymarketRegole
See also: @/Pazzaz/liberals-still-in-riksdag-after-202
- In Sweden, the Christian Democrats (Kristdemokraterna, KD) received 5.3% of the votes in the 2022 election, which gave them 19 seats in the Riksdag.
- But now (in June 2025) they are polling below 4% so they might lose all their seats in the next election in 2026.
- Will they recover?
- This resolves YES if the Christian Democrats get any seats in the Riksdag after the 2026 election
- This resolves NO if the Christian Democrats do not get any seats in the Riksdag after the 2026 election
Mercati aperti
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 605,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 697,7K €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 altri esiti
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 603,2 Mln €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 183,4 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 471,3K €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 altri esiti
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Christian Democrats still in Riksdag after next election??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 89% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Christian Democrats still in Riksdag after next election??
- Christian Democrats still in Riksdag after next election? dovrebbe risolversi il 12 settembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Christian Democrats still in Riksdag after next election??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: See also: @/Pazzaz/liberals-still-in-riksdag-after-202