KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
No 80%
Qualità del mercato
40 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
3,5K €
Liquidità mediaBid / Ask
21.0% / 40.0%
Spread
19.0 pt
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 7 minuti fa
4 giu 25, 14:00 UTC1 gen 28, 15:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will there be an AI loss of control incident that causes over $100 million in damages in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill OpenAI pay scientific publishers for content by EOY 2025?
Manifold MarketsTop AI model in September?
KalshiWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
PolymarketAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiRegole
If OpenAI pays tort damages of more than $1 million before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercati aperti
AIKALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max-12.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 135,2K €
- Volume 24h
- 102,7K €
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+6.5pt62.1%
- 2027-3.5pt28.4%
- 2026+2.0pt9.5%
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.7pt61.4%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt22.8%
- Grok-0.1pt7.9%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 9,1 Mln €
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-1.0pt11.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 325K €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-2.5pt66%
- 1490+-9.0pt51%
- 1500+-3.0pt23%
+2 altri esiti
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will OpenAI pay a tort claim with more than $1 million in damages before 2028??
- Kalshi quota No al 80% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will OpenAI pay a tort claim with more than $1 million in damages before 2028??
- Will OpenAI pay a tort claim with more than $1 million in damages before 2028? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2028.
- Come viene liquidato Will OpenAI pay a tort claim with more than $1 million in damages before 2028??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If OpenAI pays tort damages of more than $1 million before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.