KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
No 96%
Qualità del mercato
64 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
7,7 €
Liquidità
8,2K €
Liquidità mediaBid / Ask
3.0% / 4.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread strettoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 2 minuti fa
6 giu 25, 20:45 UTC1 gen 27, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Trump nationalize elections?
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Manifold MarketsWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
PolymarketWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
KalshiRegole
If the United States begins the process of nationalizing SpaceX before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:relevant federal courtsofficial White House press pool reportsthe United States CongressFederal RegisterSecurities and Exchange CommissionBoard of Governors of the Federal ReserveDepartment of the TreasuryDepartment of Justice Office of the Pardon AttorneyNew York Timesthe Associated PressBloomberg NewsReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforEnergy Information AdministrationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBC
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Mercati aperti
SpacePOLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+1.0pt89%
- OpenAI-2.2pt9%
- Google2%
+18 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 2,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 103,1K €
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- No56.5%
- Yes43.5%
- Volume totale
- 57,4K €
- Volume 24h
- 57,4K €
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.5pt58.8%
- SpaceX-3.5pt39.2%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2.1%
+9 altri esiti
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028-2.0pt63%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-1.0pt51%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
+8 altri esiti
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 8-6.0pt84%
- Above 9-21.0pt52%
- Above 10-4.0pt18%
+8 altri esiti
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETWill the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?
- 202767%
- June 30, 202753%
- 2026+1.3pt6%
- Volume totale
- 817,9K €
- Which company has the best AI model end of October?
- Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
- Third-best AI Lab end of September?
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
- Third-best AI Lab end of October?
- Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)
- AI data center in space by which date?
- Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Trump nationalize SpaceX??
- Kalshi quota No al 96% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Trump nationalize SpaceX??
- Will Trump nationalize SpaceX? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Will Trump nationalize SpaceX??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If the United States begins the process of nationalizing SpaceX before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.