New Jersey's 5th District margin of victory
0.7 pt (24h)One-OffPoliticaPolitica USAElezioneElezioni di metà mandato USA 202612m
KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiestoDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPunto medio del book selezionato
Gottheimer, 10+ pts · —
Caricamento del book selezionato…
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Prezzo registrato
Gottheimer, 10+ pts 54.1%In testa tra 11 esiti
Gottheimer, 10+ pts 54.1%Qualità del mercato
29 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
4,5 €
Open interest
1,9K USD
Open interest bassoBid / Ask
— / —
Gottheimer, 10+ ptsSpread
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Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 10 minuti fa
5 mag 26, 20:20 UTC3 nov 27, 15:00 UTC
Il grafico e le variazioni mostrano probabilità storiche salvate, non il book selezionato in tempo reale.
Trend
Riga selezionata: punto medio del book. Altre righe: riferimenti salvati, eventualmente normalizzati; le variazioni a 24h usano lo storico salvato.
Condizioni della piattaforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Queste condizioni sono informative; il trading simulato di CoinRithm segue regole proprie.
- Chiusura anticipata:
- Sì
- Tempo di liquidazione:
- 30m (indicativo)
Profondità di mercato · Gottheimer, 10+ pts
Caricamento del book selezionato…
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Regole
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in New Jersey's 5th District by 19 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:New Jersey Division of Elections
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Democratic Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Democratic Party if the Democratic Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Democratic Party loses. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If the Democratic Party runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural the Democratic Party will be summed. If the Democratic Party wins the election, the margin will be positive. If the Democratic Party loses the election, the margin will be negative. If the Democratic Party ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where the Democratic Party is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).
Regole per ogni esito
- Gottheimer, 10+ pts
- If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in New Jersey's 5th District by 10 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Gottheimer, 4+ pts
- If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in New Jersey's 5th District by 4 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Gottheimer, 7+ pts
- If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in New Jersey's 5th District by 7 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Gottheimer, 28+ pts
- If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in New Jersey's 5th District by 28 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Gottheimer, 19+ pts
- If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in New Jersey's 5th District by 19 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Gottheimer, 25+ pts
- If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in New Jersey's 5th District by 25 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Gottheimer, 34+ pts
- If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in New Jersey's 5th District by 34 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Gottheimer, 13+ pts
- If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in New Jersey's 5th District by 13 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Gottheimer, 16+ pts
- If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in New Jersey's 5th District by 16 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Gottheimer, 22+ pts
- If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in New Jersey's 5th District by 22 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Gottheimer, 31+ pts
- If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in New Jersey's 5th District by 31 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.