KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiCalibrazione approssimativaProbabilità implicita attualeDemocrats, 2+ pts 81%In testa tra 9 esiti
Qualita del mercato
54 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
1,2K €
Liquidità
8,3K €
Liquidità mediaBid / Ask
33.0% / 38.0%
Spread
5.0 pt
Spread moderatoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 20 minuti fa
28 apr 26, 1:023 nov 27, 15:00
Trend
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
Democrats, 10+ pts33%
Trend del volume
$1.3k2 lug27g di dati29 lug
Mercati Correlati
Texas Senate margin of victory
3,3K €Ken Paxton, 3+ pts: 34%KALSHI
KALSHIIdaho Senate margin of victory
3,2K €Republicans, 31+ pts: 20%KALSHI
KALSHIMichigan's 3rd District margin of victory
1,4K €Democrats, 10+ pts: 77%KALSHI
KALSHIKansas Senate margin of victory
1,2K €Republicans, 9+ pts: 40%KALSHI
KALSHINew Jersey's 2nd District margin of victory
877,9 €Republicans, 6+ pts: 57%KALSHI
KALSHIColorado's 4th District margin of victory
705,8 €Democrats, 7+ pts: 8%KALSHI
KALSHIAttivi in questi argomenti
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If the Democratic Party wins the first round of the 2026 U.S.
- Senate election in Georgia by 2 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Democratic Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Democratic Party if the Democratic Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Democratic Party loses.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
- No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.