KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiCalibrazione approssimativaProbabilità implicita attualeRepublicans, 3+ pts 73%In testa tra 7 esiti
Qualita del mercato
43 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
877,9 €
Liquidità
1,6K €
Bassa liquiditàBid / Ask
54.0% / 61.0%
Spread
7.0 pt
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 22 minuti fa
5 mag 26, 20:243 nov 27, 15:00
Trend
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
Republicans, 6+ pts57%
Trend del volume
$1.0k7 lug5g di dati29 lug
Mercati Correlati
Texas Senate margin of victory
3,3K €Ken Paxton, 3+ pts: 34%KALSHI
KALSHIIdaho Senate margin of victory
3,2K €Republicans, 31+ pts: 20%KALSHI
KALSHIMichigan's 3rd District margin of victory
1,4K €Democrats, 10+ pts: 77%KALSHI
KALSHIGeorgia Senate margin of victory
1,2K €Democrats, 10+ pts: 33%KALSHI
KALSHIKansas Senate margin of victory
1,2K €Republicans, 9+ pts: 40%KALSHI
KALSHIColorado's 4th District margin of victory
705,8 €Democrats, 7+ pts: 8%KALSHI
KALSHIAttivi in questi argomenti
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If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S.
- House of Representatives election in New Jersey's 2nd District by 3 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Republican Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Republican Party if the Republican Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Republican Party loses.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
- No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.