KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiCalibrazione approssimativaProbabilità implicita attualeAt least 30 99%In testa tra 8 esiti
Qualita del mercato
70 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
2K €
Liquidità
61,6K €
Alta liquiditàBid / Ask
1.0% / 2.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread strettoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 18 minuti fa
2 lug 26, 16:004 ago 26, 16:45
Trend
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
At least 601%
Grandi operazioni
$1.3k31.0%KALSHIAt least 50 — Yes19 gg fa
KALSHIAt least 50 — Yes19 gg fa$1.7k95.0%KALSHIAt least 40 — Yes21 gg fa
KALSHIAt least 40 — Yes21 gg faTrend del volume
$2.3k2 lug27g di dati28 lug
Mercati Correlati
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by which date?
2,3 Mln €July 31: 100%
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Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
694,6K €July 18: 100%POLYMARKET
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US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by...? (2 week pause)
531,1K €August 31: 70%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
92,1K €Before Sep 1, 2026: 8%KALSHI
KALSHI
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/20 - 7/26)
36,4K €Above 50: 19%KALSHI
KALSHI
US-Iran nuclear deal?
17,6K €Before Aug 1, 2026: 0%KALSHI
KALSHIAttivi in questi argomenti
Notizie Correlate
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Polymarket prices Hormuz traffic normalization by July 31 at 1.85% YesBlockchain.NewsRegole
If the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is at least 30 in Jul 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is at least 40 in Jul 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is at least 50 in Jul 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is at least 60 in Jul 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is at least 70 in Jul 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is at least 80 in Jul 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.