KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiestoDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
55° to 56° 60.4%In testa tra 6 esitiCorretto per il margine: le quote grezze sommavano oltre il 100% e sono state normalizzate.
55° to 56° 60.4%Qualità del mercato
32 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
706,4 €
Open interest
672 €
Open interest bassoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 14 minuti fa
30 set 26, 14:00 UTC2 ott 26, 08:00 UTC
Trend
Condizioni della piattaforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Queste condizioni sono informative; il trading simulato di CoinRithm segue regole proprie.
- Chiusura anticipata:
- Sì
- Tempo di liquidazione:
- 5m (indicativo)
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Lowest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 30, 2026?
KalshiWill the lowest temperature in San Francisco (SF)(SFO)(KSFO) be below 55 F on September 30, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest)?
ForecastExWill the lowest temperature in San Francisco (SF)(SFO)(KSFO) be below 58 F on September 30, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest)?
ForecastExWill the lowest temperature in San Francisco (SF)(SFO)(KSFO) be below 56 F on September 30, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest)?
ForecastExWill the lowest temperature in San Francisco (SF)(SFO)(KSFO) be below 57 F on September 30, 2026? (minimum) (min) (coldest)?
ForecastExLowest temperature in San Francisco on October 1?
PolymarketRegole
If the minimum temperature recorded at San Francisco (CLISFO) for Oct 1, 2026, is between 55-56° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:The Weather Company
- Not all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the Weather Company. Reading weather data Preliminary Weather Company data may be subject to rounding and conversion differences from the final reported value. Use caution when interpreting preliminary Weather Company readings. If it is determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange that there is a material error in the initial non-preliminary publication, Expiration may be held until the publication of a non-materially-erroneous data revision or until the Expiration Date, whichever comes first. If no data is available at the end of this period, all markets will resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. Please note, a status of "Final" on weather.com/kalshi is provided for convenience only, and does not guarantee data to be error-free and thus exempt from the above.
Regole per ogni esito
- 55° to 56°
- If the minimum temperature recorded at San Francisco (CLISFO) for Oct 1, 2026, is between 55-56° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 57° to 58°
- If the minimum temperature recorded at San Francisco (CLISFO) for Oct 1, 2026, is between 57-58° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 53° to 54°
- If the minimum temperature recorded at San Francisco (CLISFO) for Oct 1, 2026, is between 53-54° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 59° or above
- If the minimum temperature recorded at San Francisco (CLISFO) for Oct 1, 2026, is greater than 58° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 50° or below
- If the minimum temperature recorded at San Francisco (CLISFO) for Oct 1, 2026, is less than 51° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 51° to 52°
- If the minimum temperature recorded at San Francisco (CLISFO) for Oct 1, 2026, is between 51-52° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.