What will Pete Hegseth say during his IISS Shangri-La Dialogue address?
33.0% (24h)GeopoliticaOne-Off
KalshiChiusoVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneQuesto mercato si è risolto: Taiwan (99%)
Risolto: 30 mag 2026, 15:45
Esito Vincente
Taiwan
A 7 giorni
—
A 24 ore
—
Probabilità implicita attualeCeasefire 1%-33.0%In testa tra 17 esiti
Qualita del mercato
40 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
1,6K €
Liquidità
1,4K €
Bassa liquiditàBid / Ask
- / 100.0%
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 13 giorni fa
Obsoleto28 mag 26, 2:0030 mag 26, 5:05
Cronologia delle Probabilità
Ceasefire1%
Drone1%
Taiwan99%
Oil1%
Ukraine1%
AI / Artificial Intelligence99%
America First99%
Russia / Russian1%
Venezuela99%
Nuclear99%
Terrorist / Terrorism99%
Lethal99%
NATO99%
Trump (3+ times)99%
National Security99%
Event does not qualify1%
China / Chinese99%
1%
1%
99%
1%
1%
99%
Questo mercato è chiuso. Il trading simulato è disponibile solo sui mercati aperti.
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If a qualifying event does not occur, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Video of the IISS Shangri-La Dialogue 2026 will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the IISS Shangri-La Dialogue 2026 will be used.
- Payout Criterion: The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used.
- Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
- Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
- For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.