KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Above 0.0% 84%In testa tra 9 esiti
Qualità del mercato
31 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
1,7 €
Liquidità
2,4K €
Liquidità mediaSpread
10.0 pt
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 10 minuti fa
28 lug 26, 18:30 UTC29 apr 27, 12:29 UTC
Trend
Asset Sensibili al Macro
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
KalshiUS real GDP growth in Q4 2026?
KalshiUS real GDP growth in Q2 2027?
KalshiWill the annualized growth rate in US Real GDP exceed -1.5% in Q4 2026?
ForecastExWill the annualized growth rate in US Real GDP exceed -2.5% in Q4 2026?
ForecastExWill the annualized growth rate in US Real GDP exceed 1% in Q4 2026?
ForecastExRegole
If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 0.0, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:Bureau of Economic Analysis
- The market will close at 8:29 AM on the day of the expected release of the data.
- The market will expire at the first 10:00 AM following the release of the data for Q1 2027, or 3 months following that expected date of data release.
- Please note the Expiration Value is the one-decimal value published by the BEA.
- If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 0.5, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 1.0, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercati aperti
Economy
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt53.5%
- No change-1.0pt46.5%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 90,2 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 1,3 Mln €
KALSHICPI in August
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
- Above -0.1%99%
+12 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 358,5K €
- Volume 24h
- 35,6K €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.1%+2.0pt99%
- Above 2.9%99%
- Above 2.5%99%
+23 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 554,3K €
- Volume 24h
- 33,8K €
KALSHIRecession in 2027?
- No77%
- Yes-1.0pt23%
- Volume totale
- 314,7K €
- Volume 24h
- 11K €
KALSHICPI core in August
- Above 0.0%99%
- Above 0.1%+3.0pt87%
- Above 0.2%-4.0pt32%
+8 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 17,7K €
KALSHICPI in September
- Above -0.3%+1.0pt98%
- Above -0.4%97%
- Above -0.2%+1.0pt96%
+8 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 76K €
- Volume 24h
- US government budget balance in 2026
- Recession this year?
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- Jobs numbers in Sep 2026?
- Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
- Unemployment in September
- Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q3 2026?
- Unemployment rate in Sep 2026?
- Wisconsin manufacturing employment average in 2026
- China’s government budget balance in 2026
Cripto correlate
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per US real GDP growth in Q1 2027??
- Kalshi quota Above 0.0% al 84% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve US real GDP growth in Q1 2027??
- US real GDP growth in Q1 2027? dovrebbe risolversi il 29 aprile 2027.
- Come viene liquidato US real GDP growth in Q1 2027??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 0.0, then the market resolves to Yes.