KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
No 88%
Qualità del mercato
62 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
129,6 €
Liquidità
5,5K €
Liquidità mediaBid / Ask
8.4% / 11.0%
Spread
2.6 pt
Spread moderatoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 10 minuti fa
3 dic 25, 23:00 UTC1 gen 27, 15:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Russia and Ukraine hold direct peace talks before November 1, 2026?
Manifold Markets[Metaculus] Will there be a direct conflict between Russia and any NATO member state before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Nord Stream resume operations by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
PolymarketRussia Parliamentary Election Winner
PolymarketPutin out as President of Russia by which date?
PolymarketRegole
If a U.S. airline begins offering a direct flight to Russia before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:the Associated PressReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBC
- Announcements that it will begin offering direct flights within the year is also encompassed.
Mercati aperti
Russia / UkrainePOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt75%
- New People (NL)-4.1pt21%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 22,2 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 473K €
POLYMARKETRussia Parliamentary Election Winner
- United Russia (ER)+0.6pt100%
- Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)-0.1pt0%
- A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)0%
+5 altri esiti
POLYMARKETPutin out as President of Russia by which date?
- June 30, 2027-1.0pt14%
- December-1.0pt7%
- September 30,-0.1pt1%
+2 altri esiti
POLYMARKETNobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- Yulia Navalnaya8%
- UNRWA+0.5pt8%
- International Court of Justice-1.0pt6%
+17 altri esiti
POLYMARKETUnited Russia seats in the next Russian legislative election?
- 325–339-0.5pt37.1%
- 340–354+2.0pt24.7%
- 310–324-5.0pt22.7%
POLYMARKETBank of Russia decision in September?
- No Change-1.0pt68.7%
- Decrease+1.5pt28.3%
- Increase-1.3pt3%
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
- NATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
- Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by which date?
- Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by which date?
- Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?
- Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will U.S. direct flights to Russia resume??
- Kalshi quota No al 88% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will U.S. direct flights to Russia resume??
- Will U.S. direct flights to Russia resume? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Will U.S. direct flights to Russia resume??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If a U.S. airline begins offering a direct flight to Russia before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.