KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiCalibrazione approssimativaProbabilità implicita attualeLorie Logan 61%+7.0%In testa tra 12 esiti
Qualita del mercato
68 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
4,4K €
Liquidità
13,2K €
Liquidità mediaBid / Ask
58.0% / 61.0%
Spread
5.2%
Spread moderatoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 21 minuti fa
17 giu 26, 20:0029 lug 26, 17:59
Trend
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
Lorie Logan61%
Trend del volume
$5.0k2 lug25g di dati26 lug
Asset Sensibili al Macro
Mercati Correlati
Fed decision in Jul 2026?
371,8K €Fed maintains rate: 80%KALSHI
KALSHI
Fed rate hike in 2026?
48,7K €Sì: 71%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
46K €0 (0: 85%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Number of rate cuts in 2026?
30,8K €Exactly 4 cuts: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
What will Kevin Warsh say during his July press conference?
28,4K €Volatility: 18%KALSHI
KALSHI
Ecusfed 26 SEP
22,8K €H 0: 42%ROTHERA
ROTHERAAttivi in questi argomenti
Notizie Correlate
Polymarket odds put July Fed no-change at 96% as $65M tradesBlockchain.News
Polymarket odds: Fed July hold jumps to 95% after Bitcoin breaks $65KBlockchain.News
Bitcoin climbs above $65K as weak PPI rattles Fed hawksCrypto NewsPolymarket odds tilt to Sept Fed hold at 61.5% after Warsh testimonyBlockchain.NewsPolymarket odds for 2026 Fed hike fall to 52.5% as traders trim betsBlockchain.News
Polymarket sees 92.5% odds of July Fed hold as crypto jumps on easing inflationBlockchain.NewsRegole
If Kevin Warsh formally dissented at the July 2026 FOMC meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If John Williams formally dissented at the July 2026 FOMC meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Philip Jefferson formally dissented at the July 2026 FOMC meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Michelle Bowman formally dissented at the July 2026 FOMC meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Christopher Waller formally dissented at the July 2026 FOMC meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Michael Barr formally dissented at the July 2026 FOMC meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.