KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
At least 1730K 99%In testa tra 11 esiti
Qualità del mercato
37 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
31,4 €
Liquidità
70,2 €
Bassa liquiditàSpread
5.0 pt
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 6 minuti fa
4 set 26, 00:00 UTC10 set 26, 12:29 UTC
Trend
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Initial jobless claims for the week ending September 5, 2026
KalshiWill the US Unemployment Rate exceed 3.3% in September 2026? (Jobless) (Jobs) (Labor market) (Layoffs) (Economy)?
ForecastExWill the US Unemployment Rate exceed 5% in October 2026? (Jobless) (Jobs) (Labor market) (Layoffs) (Economy)?
ForecastExWill the US Unemployment Rate exceed 3.8% in October 2026? (Jobless) (Jobs) (Labor market) (Layoffs) (Economy)?
ForecastExFed Decision in September?
PolymarketInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
KalshiRegole
If the U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Aug 29, 2026 is at least
- 1730K, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The Underlying is the advance seasonally adjusted insured unemployment figure reported by the U.S. Department of Labor’s Employment and Training Administration in its Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims Report for the week ending Aug 29, 2026.
- The market will use the advance figure first published for the specified week.
- The following week's revision will not affect resolution.
- 1740K, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercati aperti
EconomyPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt54%
- No change-3.0pt45%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 89,9 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 1,7 Mln €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 541,2K €
- Volume 24h
- 30,7K €
KALSHICPI in August
- Above 0.1%99%
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
+12 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 334,2K €
- Volume 24h
- 12,8K €
KALSHIUS government budget balance in 2026
- Above -8.5% of GDP97%
- Above -8.0% of GDP71%
- Above -7.5% of GDP58%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 10,7K €
- Volume 24h
- 10,7K €
KALSHIGovernment shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- No98%
- Yes2%
- Volume totale
- 612,5K €
- Volume 24h
- 6,9K €
KALSHIRecession this year?
- No95%
- Yes+1.0pt5%
- Volume totale
- 2,9 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 5,3K €
- Recession in 2027?
- Will the Citrini scenario happen?
- France’s government budget balance in 2026
- United Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026
- Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026
- China’s government budget balance in 2026
- Germany’s government budget balance in 2026
- CPI in September
- CPI core in August
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
- Unemployment in September
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Continuing jobless claims for the week ending Aug 29, 2026?
- Kalshi quota At least 1730K al 99% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Continuing jobless claims for the week ending Aug 29, 2026?
- Continuing jobless claims for the week ending Aug 29, 2026 dovrebbe risolversi il 10 settembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Continuing jobless claims for the week ending Aug 29, 2026?
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If the U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Aug 29, 2026 is at least