KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Hike 1-25bps 52.8%In testa tra 5 esitiCorretto per il margine: le quote grezze sommavano oltre il 100% e sono state normalizzate.
Qualità del mercato
20 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
1,6K €
Bassa liquiditàDati di mercato
Aggiornato 13 minuti fa
22 lug 26, 20:45 UTC23 set 26, 12:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Reserve Bank of Australia rate decision in September
KalshiEuropean Central Bank rate decision in September
KalshiCzech National Bank rate decision in September
KalshiReserve Bank of Australia Decision in September
PolymarketReserve Bank of Australia (RBA) decision in September?
Manifold MarketsUS Dollar / South African Rand (USD/ZAR) Up or Down on September 9?
PolymarketRegole
If the South African Reserve Bank takes the action of the named outcome at its September Monetary Policy Committee meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:Trading Economics
- The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank.
- For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count.
- If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "No change" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No. Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings.
- The specific basis point ranges are inclusive (e.g., "25-50bp" includes both 25bp and 50bp changes).
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
Mercati aperti
Central BanksPOLYMARKETECB Interest Rates: September 2026
- 25 bps increase100%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
- 25 bps decrease0%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 435,8K €
- Volume 24h
- 40,4K €
KALSHIEuropean Central Bank rate decision in September
- Hike 1-25bps+1.0pt95.2%
- Maintain current rate+1.0pt1.9%
- Hike more than 25bps1%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 78,1K €
POLYMARKETBank of Japan Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+0.5pt97%
- 50+ bps increase+0.7pt2%
- No change-1.3pt1%
+2 altri esiti
POLYMARKETECB Interest Rates: October 2026
- No change-1.0pt88.1%
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt11.9%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
+2 altri esiti
KALSHICzech National Bank rate decision in September
- Maintain current rate94%
- Hike 25bps+28.0pt33%
- Cut 50bps2%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 41,2K €
- Volume 24h
KALSHIBank of Japan rate decision in September
- Hike 25bps-1.0pt94.2%
- Hike more than 25bps+1.0pt1.9%
- Maintain current rate1.9%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- Fed Rate Decision (Oct 2026)
- Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in September
- Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in December?
- Bank of England decision in September?
- Bank of Japan Decision in October?
- Fed Rate Decision (Jul 2027)
- Bank of Canada Decision in October?
- Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November
- Bank of Canada decision in Oct 2026?
- Reserve Bank of Australia rate decision in September
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per South African Reserve Bank rate decision in September?
- Kalshi quota Hike 1-25bps al 53% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve South African Reserve Bank rate decision in September?
- South African Reserve Bank rate decision in September dovrebbe risolversi il 23 settembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato South African Reserve Bank rate decision in September?
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If the South African Reserve Bank takes the action of the named outcome at its September Monetary Policy Committee meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Dove altro è quotato South African Reserve Bank rate decision in September?
- La stessa domanda è quotata anche su Polymarket.