KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Before 2028 24%-9.0pt
Qualità del mercato
37 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
423,5 €
Liquidità
3K €
Liquidità mediaBid / Ask
16.0% / 28.0%
Spread
12.0 pt
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 3 minuti fa
16 set 26, 17:00 UTC1 gen 28, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Canada becomes EU Associate Member by which date?
PolymarketWill Ukraine become an EU associate member in 2026?
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Manifold MarketsTrump x Greenland deal signed by which date?
PolymarketRegole
If Canada and the European Union sign or formally adopt an agreement establishing Canada as an EU associate member or an equivalent new formal institutional status after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:The Washington PostFox NewsThe Wall Street JournalThe GuardianABCBloomberg NewsCBSSouth China Morning PostNBCthe Associated PressBBCAxiosCNNABC News AustraliaThe InformationSemaforMSNBCCBCReutersPoliticoThe New York Times
- Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market.
- Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify, unless the new article itself explicitly reaffirms the truth of the topic as of the publication date.
- Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.
- An equivalent status must be expressly presented by Canada and the EU as the institutional arrangement contemplated by the EU's Canadian associate-membership proposal.
- Both sides must sign or formally adopt the same agreement.
Mercati aperti
EuropePOLYMARKETTrump x Greenland deal signed by which date?
- December 31+1.3pt96%
- September 25+7.0pt88%
- September 23+13.5pt75%
- Volume totale
- 385K €
- Volume 24h
- 181,9K €
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen-1.0pt38.1%
- Édouard Philippe25.8%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon13.4%
+38 altri esiti
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETNATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- December 3130%
- October 31+0.5pt16%
- December 31, 2025-0.1pt0%
+3 altri esiti
POLYMARKETNext Prime Minister of Serbia?
- Aleksandar Vučić+2.3pt52.5%
- Ilija Srdanović-1.0pt46.5%
- Vladan Đokić+0.3pt1%
+7 altri esiti
POLYMARKETFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by which date?
- December-5.5pt22%
- October17%
- September 30,7%
- Volume totale
- 1,5 Mln €
KALSHISanchez Izquierdo vs Monteiro
- Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo52.4%
- Thiago Monteiro47.6%
- Volume totale
- 35,3K €
- Volume 24h
- 34,6K €
- Next leader out of power before 2027?
- Russia military action against EU country by which date?
- How many UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?
- Greenland deal text released by which date?
- EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by which date?
- Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
- Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Elections: SPD # of seats?
- Next Chancellor of Germany before 2028?
- Berlin State Elections: AfD # of seats?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per When will Canada gain EU associate status??
- Kalshi quota Before 2028 al 24% al 20 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve When will Canada gain EU associate status??
- When will Canada gain EU associate status? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2028.
- Come viene liquidato When will Canada gain EU associate status??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If Canada and the European Union sign or formally adopt an agreement establishing Canada as an EU associate member or an equivalent new formal institutional status after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.