KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
No 93%
Qualità del mercato
45 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
320,9 €
Bassa liquiditàBid / Ask
1.5% / 6.7%
Spread
5.2 pt
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 6 minuti fa
26 feb 25, 15:00 UTC1 gen 27, 15:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will New Zealand implement a carbon tax by 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill the cap on gambling loss reduction be repealed?
KalshiWill the Jones Act be repealed?
KalshiWill at least part of the Americans with Disabilities Act be repealed or abolished by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsCanadian trips to the U.S. down 20% in 2026?
KalshiWill the US implement a carbon tax by 2030?
Manifold MarketsRegole
If Canada's federal carbon tax is repealed before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercati aperti
Regulation
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+1.0pt84.2%
- Yes-1.0pt15.8%
- Volume totale
- 12,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 90,5K €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+1.0pt86%
- November 30,84%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028-2.0pt51%
- Before Oct 1, 202749%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-6.0pt41%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 4,8 Mln €
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028+2.0pt67%
- Before May 1, 202754%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-7.0pt43%
+8 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 877K €
POLYMARKETWhat will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- $1.25T–$1.5T-0.1pt19.8%
- $1.75T–$2.0T+0.5pt18.9%
- $1.5T–$1.75T+0.1pt17.9%
+5 altri esiti
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Mar 1, 202795%
- Before Feb 1, 202793%
- Before Apr 1, 202792%
+9 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,4 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 6,5K €
- Conference to Win the National Championship
- Will California authorize an alternative wage or other qualifying relief from goat-herder wage and overtime obligations before Oct 1, 2026?
- Will marijuana be rescheduled?
- Will Alabama cut its state grocery tax again?
- Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
- Discord IPO Closing Market Cap
- Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
- When will the Senate vote on the Clarity Act?
- Will Delaware raise its corporate franchise tax?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by September 30?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will the Canadian carbon tax be repealed before 2027??
- Kalshi quota No al 93% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will the Canadian carbon tax be repealed before 2027??
- Will the Canadian carbon tax be repealed before 2027? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Will the Canadian carbon tax be repealed before 2027??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If Canada's federal carbon tax is repealed before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.