KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
No 90%
Qualità del mercato
69 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
281,1 €
Liquidità
9,3K €
Liquidità mediaBid / Ask
10.0% / 11.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread strettoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 6 minuti fa
19 ago 26, 03:30 UTC4 giu 27, 13:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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PolymarketRegole
If the Arizona’s annual average employment in Semiconductor and Other Electronic Component Manufacturing for 2026 is above 24,431 employees, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:Bureau of Labor Statistics
- Resolution uses annual average employment in Arizona for NAICS 3344 - Semiconductor and Other Electronic Component Manufacturing, as reported by BLS QCEW.
- The 24,431-employee baseline is fixed to the published 2025 value at market launch; later revisions do not change the strike.
- QCEW publishes detailed industries for every state and annual-average files once the full year is available.
- For reference, the complete 2025 annual QCEW data became available with the fourth-quarter release on June 2, 2026.
Mercati aperti
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $76,750 or above99%
- $76,500 or above99%
- $76,250 or above99%
+77 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 1,3 Mln €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
- $78,400 or above99%
- $78,300 or above99%
- $78,200 or above99%
+97 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,1 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 802,6K €
KALSHIBTC 15 min · $78,547.84 target
- Yes60%
- No40%
- Volume totale
- 736,5K €
- Volume 24h
- 585,6K €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+2.0pt99%
- $72,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,500 or above+1.0pt98%
+47 altri esiti
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 180-199+10.0pt31.4%
- 200-219+8.0pt22.9%
- 160-179-4.0pt19.1%
+23 altri esiti
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 88° to 89°+9.0pt37%
- 90° or above+11.0pt28%
- 86° to 87°-12.0pt25%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Arizona semiconductor employment increase YoY in 2026??
- Kalshi quota No al 90% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Arizona semiconductor employment increase YoY in 2026??
- Will Arizona semiconductor employment increase YoY in 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 4 giugno 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Will Arizona semiconductor employment increase YoY in 2026??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If the Arizona’s annual average employment in Semiconductor and Other Electronic Component Manufacturing for 2026 is above 24,431 employees, then the market resolves to Yes.