KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
40.0 to 40.2 28.6%+21.0ptIn testa tra 8 esitiCorretto per il margine: le quote grezze sommavano oltre il 100% e sono state normalizzate.
Qualità del mercato
78 / 100
Alta qualitàVolume 24h
32,5K €
Liquidità
26,4K €
Alta liquiditàSpread
1.0 pt
Spread strettoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 2 minuti fa
18 set 26, 16:00 UTC25 set 26, 15:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Trump's approval rating be higher on election day (Nov. 3, 2026) than it was in his first term (Nov. 6, 2018)?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump's approval rating increase this week? (9/18-9/25)
KalshiWhat will President Trump's RCP job approval rating be on Sept. 23?
PredictItTrump's DDHQ job approval rating on Sept. 25?
PredictItTrump approval Up or Down this week?
PolymarketTrump's approval rating (Gallup) will fall to 24% or below before the end of his second term
Manifold MarketsRegole
If the President's approval rating is the named outcome% at 11:00 AM ET on September 25, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:RealClearPolitics
- The market will determine at 11:00 AM ET on September 25, 2026.
- If the President's approval rating is between 38.8 and 39.0% at 11:00 AM ET on September 25, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the President's approval rating is between 39.1 and 39.3% at 11:00 AM ET on September 25, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the President's approval rating is between 39.4 and 39.6% at 11:00 AM ET on September 25, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the President's approval rating is between 39.7 and 39.9% at 11:00 AM ET on September 25, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
Mercati aperti
PoliticsPOLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.5pt18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.7pt15%
+48 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,1 Mld €
- Volume 24h
- 1,8 Mln €
POLYMARKETVenezuela leader end of 2026?
- Delcy Rodríguez+44.0pt57.4%
- Nicolás Maduro-40.9pt41.6%
- No Head of State-0.1pt1%
+13 altri esiti
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance51%
- Marco Rubio+0.1pt16%
- Ron DeSantis3%
+39 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 615,5 Mln €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff+1.0pt17.9%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+1.0pt16.8%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt13.7%
+45 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep-1.0pt58.6%
- D-House, R-Senate+1.0pt30.3%
- Republicans sweep-0.2pt10.1%
+1 altri esiti
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+21 altri esiti
- What will Trump say this week?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by which date?
- Next French Presidential Election
- Brazil Presidential Election
- Los Angeles Mayor winner?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Trump's approval rating on Sep 25, 2026??
- Kalshi quota 40.0 to 40.2 al 29% al 20 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Trump's approval rating on Sep 25, 2026??
- Trump's approval rating on Sep 25, 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 25 settembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Trump's approval rating on Sep 25, 2026??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If the President's approval rating is the named outcome% at 11:00 AM ET on September 25, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Dove altro è quotato Trump's approval rating on Sep 25, 2026??
- La stessa domanda è quotata anche su Polymarket.