Trump's approval rating (Gallup) will fall to 24% or below before the end of his second term
PoliticaOne-OffPolitica USAElezione2aManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 82%
Previsori
20
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 20 minuti fa
14 gen 26, 23:22 UTC20 gen 29, 23:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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KalshiRegole
Given Gallups recent announcement to no longer track and publish approval ratings, I changing the criteria to be based on the NY Times:
- https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/polls/donald-trump-approval-rating-polls.html
- Times also trends higher than Gallup so adjusting the target up 2 points.
- Leaving the original description below for posterity:
- This market resolves to true if Trump's approval rating during his second term falls below the lowest of any President since Nixon.
- GW Bush had the lowest at 25%, so this resolves to true if at any point in his second term his approval drops to 24% or below
