If protestors get shot by law enforcement during Trump's second term will his net approval rating go up?
US PoliticsOne-OffGeopolitica2aManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 65.6%
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Aggiornato 13 ore fa
Obsoleto8 giu 25, 05:39 UTC20 gen 29, 11:59 UTC
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I'll look at the net approval rating at https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin one week after at least one protestor got shot by law enforcement.
- It doesn't matter what agency the agent was from who shot the protestor(s).
- National guard or military counts as well, as long as it happened while they were on duty, responding to a protest.
- If no protestors get shot during the second term I'll resolve the market N/A. If net approval is exactly identical in Silver's report, this resolves NO, since it didn't go up.
- It's irrelevant for the market condition if the protestor survives.
- As long as they were hit by a proper, potentially deadly bullet, not rubber bullets or teargas or similar, it counts.
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per If protestors get shot by law enforcement during Trump's second term will his net approval rating go up??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 66% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve If protestors get shot by law enforcement during Trump's second term will his net approval rating go up??
- If protestors get shot by law enforcement during Trump's second term will his net approval rating go up? dovrebbe risolversi il 20 gennaio 2029.
- Come viene liquidato If protestors get shot by law enforcement during Trump's second term will his net approval rating go up??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: I'll look at the net approval rating at https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin one week after at least one protestor got shot by law enforcement.