KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiestoDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Before Jan 1, 2027 63%In testa tra 4 esiti
Before Jan 1, 2027 63%Qualità del mercato
45 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
232,7 €
Liquidità
647,4 €
Bassa liquiditàSpread
4.0 pt
Spread moderatoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 4 minuti fa
24 set 26, 02:00 UTC1 dic 26, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Condizioni della piattaforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Queste condizioni sono informative; il trading simulato di CoinRithm segue regole proprie.
- Chiusura anticipata:
- Sì
- Tempo di liquidazione:
- 30m (indicativo)
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
When will OpenAI release a personal AI agent?
KalshiWhen will Anthropic release Mythos?
KalshiClaude Fable 5.2+ (Anthropic) release date
Manifold MarketsWill Anthropic release a first-party image generation model in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Anthropic release Opus 6?
KalshiWill Anthropic release an open-weights model in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegole
If an Anthropic product has implemented a general-purpose personal AI agent that remembers the user and starts multi-step tasks across third-party apps on its own the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:AnthropicTechCrunchThe VergeArs TechnicaWiredReutersBloomberg TechnologyThe InformationThe Wall Street Journal Technology sectionVentureBeatEngadgetThe New York Times Technology sectionAssociated Press Technology coverageAxios Technology newsletterPolitico Technology coverage
- The function must be live and processing user interactions, not explicitly labeled as "beta," "test," "experimental," "preview," or "early access" or similar, and officially acknowledged by the company through announcements, documentation, or help pages.
- Implementation includes direct integration into the product's interface, automatic application to user accounts, user-initiated activation through official controls, API implementation, or policy changes that operationally enforce the function.
- Announcements without deployment, employee-only testing, technical documentation without implementation, and third-party additions without authorization do not qualify.
- The implementation must occur in the United States unless otherwise specified.
- If it meets these conditions, it counts from the first date it is live for users outside the company, including in a gradual rollout or a waitlist, invitation-only, or paid-tier release.
